Badalona (K) 0-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.43/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
-27% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
11.5 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.71 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
303 Passes 406
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
31.03.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 4-1 HT 3-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
0-1
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.30 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
392 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) squeezed past Badalona (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day A. Bilbao (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 58% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, A. Bilbao (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Badalona (K) and 2.50 for A. Bilbao (K).

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Badalona (K) 0-1 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
22 Mar 2025
14:00 Real Betis (K) vs Eibar (K) Analysis →
14:00 Deportivo (K) vs Tenerife (K) Analysis →
20:30 Espanyol (K) vs Levante (K) Analysis →