Freiburg II 1-1 Villingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Freiburg II win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Villingen EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.39/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.97
+2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villingen
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
14.09.2024 Villingen Villingen 2-5 HT 2-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Villingen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Freiburg II carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Villingen?

Freiburg II 1-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Villingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 58%, draw 28%, Villingen 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
22 Mar 2025
00:00 Viktoria Berlin vs VFC Plauen Analysis →
16:00 Paderborn 07 II vs Eintracht Hohkeppel Analysis →
16:00 Hankofen-Hailing vs Nürnberg II Analysis →
16:00 Vilzing vs Würzburger Kickers Analysis →
16:00 Schweinfurt vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →
16:00 Greuther Fürth II vs Türkgücü München Analysis →