RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.90/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.71
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.2 Crosses 7.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig U19
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.71 xG 0.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
466 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 ALU19
27.08.2023 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 5-1 HT 3-0 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 and Union Berlin U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig U19 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Berlin U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig U19 and 3.00 for Union Berlin U19.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig U19 54%, draw 25%, Union Berlin U19 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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