San Telmo 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.51
+34% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
24.09.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo edged past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Estudiantes Caseros?

San Telmo 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 32%, draw 26%, Estudiantes Caseros 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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