San Miguel 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 17%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.54
-9% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Corners 3
20.07.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
03.03.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Arsenal Sarandi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Miguel at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Miguel and 0.50 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi?

San Miguel 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 62%, draw 23%, Arsenal Sarandi 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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