San Miguel 3-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.75
No
72%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
28%
BTTS Yes
32%
-4.4pp
72%
BTTS No
68%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 22%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.10
+56% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Corners 3
03.03.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel cruised past Arsenal Sarandi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (72%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi?

San Miguel 3-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 51%, draw 31%, Arsenal Sarandi 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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