Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.0pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.26/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.21
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
20.06.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
28.08.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-3 HT 0-3 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
17.04.2021 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-3 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
23.11.2019 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
11.10.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano cruised past Brown De Adrogue 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.50 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Brown De Adrogue?

Defensores De Belgrano 3-0 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 46%, draw 32%, Brown De Adrogue 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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