Almagro vs Estudiantes Caseros Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almagro v Estudiantes Caseros — Team-Based Signals
Almagro vs Estudiantes Caseros Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Estudiantes Caseros
ARJPBN
3-2
HT 3-1
Almagro
ARJPBM
0-0
HT 0-0
Estudiantes Caseros
ARJPBM
0-1
HT 0-0
Estudiantes Caseros
ARJK
Almagro squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 38% / 24% — and on the day Almagro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Almagro and 1.20 for Estudiantes Caseros.
What was the final score of Almagro vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Almagro 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almagro vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Almagro 39%, draw 38%, Estudiantes Caseros 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almagro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.