Almirante Brown 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.8pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.28
-31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.03.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown squeezed past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Almirante Brown made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Almirante Brown 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 29%, draw 33%, Atletico Aldosivi 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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