Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+16% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1-0
AWAY San Miguel
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi squeezed past San Miguel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal Sarandi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Sarandi had 54% of the ball to San Miguel's 46%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs San Miguel?

Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 42%, draw 32%, San Miguel 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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