Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 24%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.21
+52% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
1-0
AWAY Defensores Unidos
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 7
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro nicked a narrow win over Defensores Unidos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimnasia Y Tiro as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia Y Tiro had 58% of the ball to Defensores Unidos's 42%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores Unidos?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 49%, draw 28%, Defensores Unidos 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
3 Mar 2024
01:15 Brown De Adrogue vs Defensores De Belgrano Analysis →
23:00 Arsenal Sarandi vs San Miguel Analysis →
23:00 Chacarita Juniors vs Talleres Remedios Analysis →
23:00 Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo Analysis →
23:00 Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
23:00 Temperley vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →