Deportivo Moron 1-2 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.06/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.80
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
3W-0D-2L
AWAY San Telmo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
16.10.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
04.06.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-1 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
18.10.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
23.06.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Moron
1-2
AWAY San Telmo
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo edged past Deportivo Moron 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo Moron had 47% of the ball to San Telmo's 53%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.00 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?

Deportivo Moron 1-2 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 44%, draw 28%, San Telmo 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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