Sorrento 0-2 Olympic Kingsway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
56%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Olympic Kingsway win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
56%
Away Win
50%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Kingsway EU Bookmakers 54%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.12/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.35
+53% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympic Kingsway
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway 0-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
06.05.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympic Kingsway Olympic Kingsway AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Olympic Kingsway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Kingsway saw off Sorrento 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympic Kingsway as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sorrento and 1.00 for Olympic Kingsway.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Olympic Kingsway?

Sorrento 0-2 Olympic Kingsway in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Olympic Kingsway?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympic Kingsway win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 24%, draw 20%, Olympic Kingsway 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympic Kingsway) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympic Kingsway) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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