Kingborough Lions 1-0 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 56%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.54/3.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.48
+11% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Devonport City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 4-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
06.07.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
04.05.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.09.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
08.07.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 5-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions squeezed past Devonport City 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Devonport City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kingborough Lions and 2.33 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City?

Kingborough Lions 1-0 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 32%, draw 24%, Devonport City 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Devonport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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