Devonport City 4-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒07:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.48/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.71
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.07.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
04.05.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.09.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
08.07.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 5-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
23.07.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City ran out comfortable winners over Kingborough Lions 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Devonport City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Devonport City and 1.67 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Devonport City 4-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 55%, draw 17%, Kingborough Lions 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Devonport City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Devonport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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