Canberra Olympic 4-3 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.14/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.59
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +64%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra Olympic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY O Connor Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
29.07.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
08.07.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVTCT
15.04.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 2-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
17.08.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 0-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
11.06.2022 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra Olympic vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra Olympic squeezed past O Connor Knights 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. O Connor Knights carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra Olympic and 1.00 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Canberra Olympic vs O Connor Knights?

Canberra Olympic 4-3 O Connor Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra Olympic vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Canberra Olympic 24%, draw 21%, O Connor Knights 55%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (O Connor Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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