Lüksemburg vs İsveç Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lüksemburg v İsveç — Team-Based Signals
Lüksemburg vs İsveç Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
8-0
HT 3-0
Lüksemburg
DKE
0-1
HT 0-0
İsveç
DKE
Lüksemburg 1-0 İsveç — Actual Match Statistics
Lüksemburg squeezed past İsveç 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was İsveç at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Lüksemburg had 29% of the ball to İsveç's 71%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İsveç led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lüksemburg and 4.50 for İsveç.
What was the final score of Lüksemburg vs İsveç?
Lüksemburg 1-0 İsveç in the Friendlies on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lüksemburg vs İsveç?
Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 25%, draw 25%, İsveç 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İsveç) went the other way.