PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.95
Over 2.5
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
43%
-17.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
257 Passes 412
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.12.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
3-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
266 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) saw off Ajax (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 48% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 52%, shots finished 14-17.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 25%, draw 33%, Ajax (K) 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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