Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -65% / -65%
0.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-53% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -69%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-1 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
10.03.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
02.10.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz squeezed past Sokol Saratov 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sokol Saratov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 46% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 54%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 0.00 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Sokol Saratov?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 29%, draw 28%, Sokol Saratov 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sokol Saratov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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