KAMAZ 2-3 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Mar 2025

KAMAZ
2-3 HT 0-2
Tyumen
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.79/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.50
+44% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tyumen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 1-1 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
20.05.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
13.08.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-1 HT 2-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
21.06.2017 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen HAZ
25.11.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
03.08.2015 Tyumen Tyumen 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
2-3
AWAY Tyumen
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen nicked a narrow win over KAMAZ 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KAMAZ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 65% of the ball to Tyumen's 35%, shots finished 28-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tyumen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for KAMAZ and 1.17 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Tyumen?

KAMAZ 2-3 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 46%, draw 30%, Tyumen 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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