Niğde Belediyesi Spor 4-2 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+9.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/3.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.99
+56% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.11.2024 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Niğde Belediyesi Spor Niğde Belediyesi Spor S3-4
POST-MATCH Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niğde Belediyesi Spor beat Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 43%) promised a tight game; Niğde Belediyesi Spor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Niğde Belediyesi Spor 4-2 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Niğde Belediyesi Spor 38%, draw 20%, Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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