GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Kepezspor FAŞ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.34/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/2.71
-31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Kepezspor FAŞ Kepezspor FAŞ 1-3 HT 1-3 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor edged past Kepezspor FAŞ 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Kepezspor FAŞ in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 62%, draw 25%, Kepezspor FAŞ 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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