68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-5 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.1pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.56/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.69
+6% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbaaspor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-4 HT 0-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor T2L-K
16.05.2023 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor S3-3
11.12.2022 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
2-5
AWAY Erbaaspor
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor swept aside 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. 68 Aksaray Belediyespor carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 64% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 36%, shots finished 20-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor and 0.67 for Erbaaspor.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-5 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 70%, draw 16%, Erbaaspor 14%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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