Portekiz U19 1-0 Galler U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.47/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.1 Crosses 3.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Portekiz U19 vs Galler U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U19 squeezed past Galler U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portekiz U19 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Portekiz U19 vs Galler U19?

Portekiz U19 1-0 Galler U19 in the European U19 on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U19 vs Galler U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U19 61%, draw 18%, Galler U19 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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