Boston River 1-3 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.43/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.06
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
177 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
24.05.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.08.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
04.02.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.11.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-3
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo beat Boston River 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 51% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Boston River and 0.60 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Boston River 1-3 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boston River 39%, draw 26%, Racing Club Montevideo 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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