Boston River 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.04
+32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.08.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
04.02.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.11.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Boston River 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boston River at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 41% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 59%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boston River and 0.25 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Boston River 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boston River 41%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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