Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2 HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Centro Atletico Fenix v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.31/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.30
-18% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 HT 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
26.05.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
12.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
06.06.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.04.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 HT 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
41% Ball Possession 59%
21 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado edged past Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Centro Atletico Fenix at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 41% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 59%, shots finished 21-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 44%, draw 30%, Deportivo Maldonado 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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