Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.97
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
211 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
12.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
06.06.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.04.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 HT 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
21.05.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-3
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix saw off Deportivo Maldonado 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Centro Atletico Fenix made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 51% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 49%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.67 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated an Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 32%, draw 31%, Centro Atletico Fenix 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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