Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Stats & Model Review (Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024)

Racing Club Montevideo

0-1 HT 0-1

Defensor Sporting

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗

Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

31%

2.84

Draw

28%

3.18

Away

41%

2.24

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

1.74

Over 2.5

49%

2.0

Both Teams to Score

Yes

53%

1.81

47%

1.9

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

26%

2-3 Goals

42%

4-5 Goals

24%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

16%

1/2

1/X

X/1

X/2

20%

X/X

13%

2/1

2/2

15%

2/X

10%

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

31%

Home Win

32%

-0.2pp

28%

Draw

28%

-0.2pp

41%

Away Win

41%

+0.3pp

51%

Under 2.5

54%

-2.3pp

49%

Over 2.5

46%

+2.3pp

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

+2.0pp

47%

BTTS No

49%

-2.0pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 35%

Head to Head

AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 45%

-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%

0.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.92

-15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +19%

50% Ball Possession 50%

13 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Target 5

6 Corners 5

236 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Racing Club Montevideo

0W-1D-5L

AWAY Defensor Sporting

0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67

47% Ball Possession 53%

9 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 5

3 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

02.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo

1-2 HT 1-1

Defensor Sporting URU

11.11.2023 Defensor Sporting

3-0 HT 1-0

Racing Club Montevideo URU

03.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo

0-1 HT 0-0

Defensor Sporting URU

07.09.2022 Racing Club Montevideo

0-1 HT 0-0

Defensor Sporting URUK

10.12.2021 Racing Club Montevideo

0-0 HT 0-0

Defensor Sporting URU2

07.12.2021 Defensor Sporting

3-0 HT 1-0

Racing Club Montevideo URU2

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Racing Club Montevideo

0-1

AWAY Defensor Sporting

47% Ball Possession 53%

10 Total Shots 8

4 Shots on Target 2

5 Corners 3

2 Yellow Cards 2

FAQ Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting

Match summary & frequently asked questions

Defensor Sporting edged past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22 Jun 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 47% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.67 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 31%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →

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