Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-9.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -6%
0.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.89
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.09.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
10.12.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
07.12.2021 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
20.10.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 43% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 57%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.50 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 36%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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