CA River Plate 1-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -30%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.24
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Danubio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
22.07.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
31.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-1 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 3-0 HT 2-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
10.07.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-3 HT 1-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
23.04.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-0
AWAY Danubio
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate edged past Danubio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 36% — and on the day CA River Plate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CA River Plate had 52% of the ball to Danubio's 48%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 0.83 for Danubio.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Danubio?

CA River Plate 1-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 34%, draw 29%, Danubio 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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