Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 42%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.88/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.01
+60% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-2
AWAY Cerro Largo
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo edged past Miramar Misiones 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 51% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 49%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo?

Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 37%, draw 25%, Cerro Largo 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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