Ternana (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.57/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.59
+85% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.0 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
169 Passes 442
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 10
6 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Ternana (K) Ternana (K) İTKSA
07.09.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Ternana (K) Ternana (K) İTSKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana (K)
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.48 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
192 Passes 115
62% Pass Accuracy 53%
35 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ternana (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana (K) and Sassuolo (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ternana (K) had 59% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 41%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.48 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ternana (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ternana (K) and 0.50 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Ternana (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Ternana (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ternana (K) 40%, draw 25%, Sassuolo (K) 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ternana (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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