Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Ternana (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.83/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.87
+33% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.2 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ternana (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Ternana (K) Ternana (K) İTSKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0-1
AWAY Ternana (K)
1.20 xG 0.92
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
442 Passes 169
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Ternana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sassuolo (K) at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 67% of the ball to Ternana (K)'s 33%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Ternana (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 0-1 Ternana (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Ternana (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 59%, draw 19%, Ternana (K) 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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