Parma (K) 1-1 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Nov 2025

Parma (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Fiorentina (K)
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Parma (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
– Crosses 18.3
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Parma (K) 1-1 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma (K)
1-1
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.76 xG 1.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
263 Passes 402
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma (K) and Fiorentina (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Parma (K) had 42% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 58%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.98.

What was the final score of Parma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Parma (K) 1-1 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Parma (K) 19%, draw 27%, Fiorentina (K) 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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