Como (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
1.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
-42% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.2 Crosses 20.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
196 Passes 342
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
01.09.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
22.01.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-0
AWAY AC Milan (K)
2.42 xG 1.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
198 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) nicked a narrow win over AC Milan (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 41% — and on the day Como (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como (K) had 41% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 59%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.42 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Como (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Como (K) and 1.33 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Como (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 39%, draw 21%, AC Milan (K) 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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