Como (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

Como (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
AC Milan (K)
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2024/2025

Como (K) vs AC Milan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Como (K) v AC Milan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.60
-100% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.1
5.0 Crosses 27.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Como (K) vs AC Milan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
223 Passes 328
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
22.01.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA

Como (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-0
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.58 xG 1.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
148 Passes 354
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 33
5 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) squeezed past AC Milan (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AC Milan (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como (K) had 36% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 64%, shots finished 4-28, expected goals 0.58 to 1.74 — on chances, AC Milan (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Como (K) and 2.00 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Como (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 27%, draw 23%, AC Milan (K) 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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