Montana 0-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-1 Montana Montana BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
0-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montana vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Montana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; PFC Beroe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Montana had 58% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Montana vs PFC Beroe?

Montana 0-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montana 36%, draw 31%, PFC Beroe 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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