Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Botev Vratsa
BUL1
Botev Vratsa 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over Botev Vratsa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Botev Vratsa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botev Vratsa had 62% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 38%, shots finished 10-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.80 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 41%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.