Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.04/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-3 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.03.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
18.10.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
31.07.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv cruised past Botev Vratsa 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 40% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 60%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.75 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 45%, draw 31%, Botev Vratsa 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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