Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 26%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.65/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.04
-46% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
18.10.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
31.07.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Botev Vratsa 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 42%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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