Spartak Varna 0-3 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.93
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-1D-2L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.10.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
25.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
09.04.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-4 HT 0-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
0-3
AWAY PFC Beroe
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe cruised past Spartak Varna 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day PFC Beroe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 60% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 40%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.67 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe?

Spartak Varna 0-3 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 37%, draw 34%, PFC Beroe 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✗ Under 2.5
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