Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — CAF Champions League, 22 Mar 2026

Stade Malien Bamako Elo 1581 WDWLL→
2 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns Elo 1772 · World #163 (clubs) WWWWW→
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 09:54
Match Result
Home
35%
2.48
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
32%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.58
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.27
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
15%
4.71
6+
2%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
13%
5.59
X/X
22%
3.72
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.22
2/X
5%
13.8
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Stade Malien Bamako v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stade Malien Bamako The Market 40%
Signal
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns The Market 37%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Great Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.53 xG 2.40
21% Ball Possession 79%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
87 Passes 574
53% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 15
The Meetings
13.03.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFŞL

Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
2 - 0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.17 xG 0.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
148 Passes 324
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stade Malien Bamako put daylight between themselves and Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 33% / 32%); Stade Malien Bamako picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Stade Malien Bamako had 37% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 63%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.89.

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Result & Final Score

Stade Malien Bamako 2 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 35%, draw 33%, Mamelodi Sundowns 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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