Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 22 Mar 2026

Stade Malien Bamako
2-0 HT 2-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.88
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
8%
5.59
X/X
10%
3.72
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.22
2/X
9%
13.8
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Malien Bamako v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 37%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.90/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.10
+150% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
24.0 Crosses 11.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.53 xG 2.40
21% Ball Possession 79%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
87 Passes 574
53% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 15
The Meetings
13.03.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFŞL

Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
2-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.17 xG 0.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
148 Passes 324
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Malien Bamako got the better of Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stade Malien Bamako found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 37% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 63%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 35%, draw 32%, Mamelodi Sundowns 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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