USM Alger 1-0 Maniema Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 22 Mar 2026

USM Alger
1-0 HT 1-0
Maniema Union
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

USM Alger vs Maniema Union Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.76
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.85
X/1
22%
3.52
X/2
3%
14.0
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
5%
13.6
2/X
8%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v Maniema Union — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.34/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/3.94
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +101%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
19.7 Crosses 5.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

USM Alger vs Maniema Union Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maniema Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.42 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
146 Passes 246
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.03.2026 Maniema Union 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK

USM Alger 1-0 Maniema Union — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-0
AWAY Maniema Union
1.57 xG 0.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
267 Passes 132
69% Pass Accuracy 50%
21 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Maniema Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past Maniema Union 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Alger had 60% of the ball to Maniema Union's 40%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.57 to 0.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold USM Alger's control.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Maniema Union?

USM Alger 1-0 Maniema Union in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Maniema Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 61%, draw 27%, Maniema Union 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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