Le Havre (K) 2-2 Marsilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 22 Mar 2026

Le Havre (K)
2-2 HT 0-1
Marsilya (K)
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Le Havre (K) vs Marsilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre (K) v Marsilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.62/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.69
+73% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.4 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Le Havre (K) vs Marsilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marsilya (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 2.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
161 Passes 409
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2025 Marsilya (K) Marsilya (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1

Le Havre (K) 2-2 Marsilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
2-2
AWAY Marsilya (K)
2.66 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
183 Passes 261
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Marsilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) and Marsilya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marsilya (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 46% of the ball to Marsilya (K)'s 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.66 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Le Havre (K) 2-2 Marsilya (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 35%, draw 21%, Marsilya (K) 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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