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Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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Montpellier (K) 2-3 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics
PSG (K) squeezed past Montpellier (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Montpellier (K) had 39% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 61%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.99 to 2.03.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Montpellier (K) and 3.00 for PSG (K).
What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?
Montpellier (K) 2-3 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 14%, draw 17%, PSG (K) 69%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.