Liverpool U21 1-5 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
20%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.66/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/4.24
+17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.5 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 12
393 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 3-3 HT 2-3 Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21 INGPL2
05.05.2024 Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21 3-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U21
1-5
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 7
387 Passes 185
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 ran out comfortable winners over Liverpool U21 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool U21 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool U21 had 64% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 36%, shots finished 7-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Liverpool U21 and 2.50 for Crystal Palace U21.

What was the final score of Liverpool U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Liverpool U21 1-5 Crystal Palace U21 in the INGPL2 on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U21 62%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace U21 18%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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