Babrungas 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.28/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.28
+62% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.09.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
22.05.2022 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-2 HT 3-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas beat FK Dainava Alytus 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Babrungas made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Babrungas and 2.00 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Babrungas 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 40%, draw 26%, FK Dainava Alytus 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ BTTS Yes
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