Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.31/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.24
-4% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2025 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 1-4 HT 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
09.05.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
05.10.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
17.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1-0
AWAY Tauras Taurage
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda edged past Tauras Taurage 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Neptüna Klaipeda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 37% of the ball to Tauras Taurage's 63%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.75 for Tauras Taurage.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 40%, draw 22%, Tauras Taurage 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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