Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.07/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.32
+39% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
17.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda and Tauras Taurage shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tauras Taurage at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.50 for Tauras Taurage.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 30%, draw 27%, Tauras Taurage 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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